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Analysts encouraged by McLaren's potential as Mercedes rival emerges in Japan
27 March 2026GP BlogAnalysisRace report

Analysts encouraged by McLaren's potential as Mercedes rival emerges in Japan

McLaren emerged as a potential new rival to Mercedes during Japanese GP practice, with Oscar Piastri topping FP2. Analysts are encouraged by their pace, though Lando Norris faced setbacks, and the true test of their challenge will come in qualifying.

McLaren showed promising pace at the Japanese Grand Prix, with Oscar Piastri topping the second practice session and the team consistently running close to Mercedes on single-lap performance. While Lando Norris's day was compromised by a hydraulic issue, analysts see the Woking-based squad as a potential new challenger to the Silver Arrows this weekend.

Why it matters:

A consistent third force has been missing from the front of the grid this season. If McLaren can translate its Friday pace into qualifying and race performance, it adds a crucial new dynamic to the battle behind the dominant Red Bulls and intensifies the fight for critical championship points in the tightly contested midfield.

The details:

  • Strong Single-Lap Pace: In both practice sessions, McLaren's lap times were notably close to those of Mercedes, with Oscar Piastri setting the fastest time overall in FP2 at the Suzuka Circuit.
  • Analyst Optimism: Sky Sports F1 pundits were positive about the team's step forward. Former driver Karun Chandhok stated he was "encouraged by what we have seen from McLaren."
  • Norris's Setback: Lando Norris completed limited laps due to a hydraulic issue, putting him on the back foot for data collection. Strategy expert Bernie Collins noted he would rely on Piastri's data to catch up for FP3.
  • Mercedes' Unknown Potential: Analysts cautioned that Mercedes is known for turning up their engine performance in qualifying. Lewis Hamilton previously noted the team finds extra pace in Q2 and Q3, suggesting Friday times may not show their full hand.

What's next:

The true test comes in Saturday's qualifying session. All eyes will be on whether McLaren can maintain its proximity to Mercedes when engine modes are turned up and if Norris can overcome his disrupted Friday to join Piastri in the fight. A strong qualifying would position the papaya cars as serious disruptors in Sunday's race strategy.

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