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Monaco GP Weather Forecast: No Rain Expected to Interrupt Dramatic Weekend
7 June 2026GP BlogRace report

Monaco GP Weather Forecast: No Rain Expected to Interrupt Dramatic Weekend

A dramatic Monaco GP weekend has produced a surprise pole for Kimi Antonelli ahead of Max Verstappen, with Ferrari and McLaren both slipping back in qualifying. Despite hopes that rain might add chaos to Sunday's race, the forecast remains completely dry with zero percent chance of precipitation. Strategy and track position will likely decide the outcome on the streets of Monte Carlo.

Despite a wildly unpredictable Monaco GP weekend that has already shuffled the competitive order, the weather is not expected to add any further drama. Kimi Antonelli secured a surprise pole position ahead of Max Verstappen by just 43 milliseconds, while Ferrari and McLaren both fell back after promising practice sessions. Sunday's race is forecast to remain completely dry, with no chance of rain and temperatures hovering around 21°C.

Why it matters:

On Monaco's narrow streets, a dry race means qualifying position is king and overtaking is virtually impossible. Antonelli's surprise pole and the mixed-up grid leave the traditional frontrunners with nowhere to hide, forcing them to rely purely on strategy and execution rather than weather to shake up the order.

The details:

  • Antonelli edged Verstappen by 0.043s for pole, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton were bumped to the second row.
  • Hamilton admitted the team felt it had lost performance heading into qualifying after dominating Friday's free practice sessions.
  • George Russell qualified sixth alongside Isack Hadjar, struggling to match his teammate Antonelli's sudden pace.
  • McLaren endured more woes as Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri took only eighth and ninth, locking out the fourth row.
  • The forecast predicts 21°C temperatures, partly cloudy skies with 49% cloud cover, and a 0% chance of rain throughout the Grand Prix.

What's next:

Without rain to mix up strategies, Sunday will test teams' pit stop timing and tire management under consistent conditions. Antonelli will aim to convert his maiden pole into victory, while Verstappen and the Ferraris search for any opening to spoil his perfect weekend.

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